OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-28
🎾 ATP Challenger Mouilleron-Le-Captif, France Men Singles · Monday 28 September 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished
Pierre Hugues Herbert 0.60 0 - 2 3.00 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 70.8%65%+5.9%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov43.2%56.8%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost16.7%83.3%
logistic34.6%65.4%
Inputs the models saw
Pierre Hugues HerbertSascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Elo (pre-match)16031714
Surface Elo16031714
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.603.00
Form trend0.600.00
Season points per game1.503.00
Season goals for / game1.502.00
Season goals against / game1.500.50
Rest days346
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 0 D
Pierre Hugues Herbert: last 5
28 SepHSascha Gueymard Wayenburg0 - 2L
25 AugALorenzo Sonego1 - 2L
08 JunAMartin Landaluce1 - 2L
25 MayALorenzo Sonego2 - 3L
27 AprHZizou Bergs0 - 2L
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg: last 5
28 SepAClement Chidekh0 - 2L
28 SepAJoel Schwaerzler2 - 0W
28 SepAClement Tabur2 - 1W
28 SepAGauthier Onclin2 - 0W
28 SepAPierre Hugues Herbert2 - 0W
Head to head
28 Sep 2026Pierre Hugues Herbert0 - 2Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
21 Jan 2025Pierre Hugues Herbert1 - 2Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.5863.3%28 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.3043.5%28 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:21 UTC