| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.7% | 72% | -13.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| logistic | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| Francisco Comesana | Felipe Meligeni Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1619 | 1613 |
| Surface Elo | 1619 | 1613 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 1 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Nick Hardt | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Nick Hardt | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Francisco Comesana | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Nick Hardt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0 - 2 | Francisco Comesana |
| 24 Feb 2025 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0 - 2 | Francisco Comesana |
| 18 Nov 2024 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0 - 2 | Francisco Comesana |
| 07 Aug 2023 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0 - 1 | Francisco Comesana |
| 24 Oct 2022 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | Francisco Comesana |
| 20 Jun 2022 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0 - 2 | Francisco Comesana |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.40 | 71.4% | 14 Oct 06:15 |