| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.7% | 57% | -4.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| logistic | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Katerina Siniakova | Peyton Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1635 | 1630 |
| Surface Elo | 1635 | 1630 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 7 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Ashlyn Krueger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Katie Boulter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Mary Stoiana | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Magda Linette | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Peyton Stearns | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Katerina Siniakova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Viktorija Golubic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Viktorija Golubic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Iva Jovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Liudmila Samsonova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Katerina Siniakova | 2 - 1 | Peyton Stearns |
| 19 Aug 2024 | Katerina Siniakova | 2 - 1 | Peyton Stearns |
| 29 May 2023 | Katerina Siniakova | 0 - 2 | Peyton Stearns |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |