| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 74.8% | 63% | +11.9% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 14.1% | 85.9% |
| logistic | 36.2% | 63.8% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Tallon Griekspoor | Andrey Rublev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1788 | 1932 |
| Surface Elo | 1788 | 1932 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W 路 0 D |
| 01 Oct | A | Andrey Rublev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Ben Shelton | 1 - 3 | L |
| 09 Aug | A | Daniel Merida | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Tallon Griekspoor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Kyrian Jacquet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct 2026 | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 1 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Andrey Rublev | 0 - 2 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| 22 Apr 2024 | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 0 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| 19 Jun 2023 | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 1 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| 20 Feb 2023 | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 1 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.59 | 62.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.46 | 40.6% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.57 | 63.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.38 | 42.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.57 | 63.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.50 | 40.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.53 | 65.4% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.45 | 40.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.60 | 62.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.64 | 37.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Andrey Rublev | 1.61 | 62.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.68 | 37.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.56 | 64.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.53 | 39.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.56 | 64.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.38 | 42.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.56 | 64.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.45 | 40.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.56 | 64.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.44 | 41.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.54 | 64.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.48 | 40.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.56 | 64.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.41 | 41.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.60 | 62.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.66 | 37.6% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Andrey Rublev | 1.61 | 62.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.68 | 37.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.56 | 64.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.38 | 42.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.57 | 63.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.54 | 39.4% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.48 | 67.6% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.35 | 42.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.59 | 62.9% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.52 | 65.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Tipico | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.35 | 42.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.46 | 68.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.35 | 42.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.54 | 64.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.48 | 40.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.54 | 64.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.48 | 40.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.57 | 63.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.38 | 42.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Andrey Rublev | 1.58 | 63.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Tallon Griekspoor | 2.45 | 40.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |