| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.5% | 53% | -1.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.9% | 58.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| logistic | 56.3% | 43.7% |
| Francisco Cerundolo | Roman Safiullin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1935 | 1879 |
| Surface Elo | 1935 | 1879 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 5 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | H | Roman Safiullin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Jakub Mensik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Jakub Mensik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Rinky Hijikata | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Rinky Hijikata | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Andrey Rublev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Andrey Rublev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | Roman Safiullin |
| 04 Nov 2024 | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | Roman Safiullin |
| 01 Jul 2024 | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 3 | Roman Safiullin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 08 Oct 06:15 |