| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.0% | 61% | -8.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.7% | 53.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| logistic | 54.6% | 45.4% |
| Nikola Bartunkova | Magdalena Frech | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1662 | 1610 |
| Surface Elo | 1662 | 1610 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 33 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Karolina Muchova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Sinja Kraus | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Aryna Sabalenka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Magdalena Frech | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Elsa Jacquemot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Nikola Bartunkova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Elsa Jacquemot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Iva Jovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Caroline Dolehide | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Magdalena Frech | 0 - 2 | Nikola Bartunkova |
| 08 Sep 2025 | Magdalena Frech | 0 - 2 | Nikola Bartunkova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 02 Oct 06:15 |