| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.6% | 70% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.5% | 31.4% |
| logistic | 64.6% | 35.4% |
| Matej Dodig | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1843 | 1747 |
| Surface Elo | 1843 | 1747 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 0.88 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Oct | A | Pedro Martinez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Passaro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Tristan Boyer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Lukas Neumayer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Pedro Martinez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Matej Dodig | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Lukas Neumayer | 1 - 2 | Matej Dodig |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Matej Dodig | 2 - 0 | Lukas Neumayer |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Lukas Neumayer | 0 - 2 | Matej Dodig |
| 07 Jul 2025 | Lukas Neumayer | 0 - 2 | Matej Dodig |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.42 | 70.4% | 15 Oct 06:15 |