| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.6% | 60% | +4.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.4% | 57.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 33.4% | 66.6% |
| logistic | 39.4% | 60.6% |
| Tyler Zink | Mitchell Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1459 | 1566 |
| Surface Elo | 1459 | 1566 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Mitchell Krueger | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Federico Agustin Gomez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Federico Agustin Gomez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Keegan Smith | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Stefan Kozlov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Tyler Zink | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Sebastian Gorzny | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 0 | Tyler Zink |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Mitchell Krueger | 0 - 2 | Tyler Zink |
| 08 Sep 2025 | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 0 | Tyler Zink |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.68 | 59.5% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 28 Sep 06:15 |