OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 UTC · finished
Augsburg 1.40 2 - 2 2.60 Bayern München
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 60.6%84%-23.8%✗ miss
DCDraw or away 84.0%95%-11.4%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 77.8%94%-16.6%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61.8%88%-26.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 58.1%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson11.2%15.8%73.0%
xgboost20.3%22.4%57.3%
logistic8.9%17.0%74.2%
Inputs the models saw
AugsburgBayern München
Elo (pre-match)16231927
Surface Elo16231927
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.402.60
Form trend0.200.00
Season points per game1.752.50
Season goals for / game2.753.50
Season goals against / game1.500.50
Rest days2121
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W7 W · 0 D
Augsburg: last 5
02 OctHHertha Berlin2 - 2D
19 SepAWerder Bremen2 - 3L
12 SepHBayer Leverkusen2 - 2D
06 SepAEintracht Frankfurt4 - 1W
30 AugHSchalke 043 - 0W
Bayern München: last 5
18 SepHUnion Berlin7 - 0W
13 SepAElversberg2 - 1W
05 SepASchalke 040 - 0D
28 AugHStuttgart5 - 1W
16 MayHFC Koln5 - 1W
Head to head
24 Jan 2026Bayern München1 - 2Augsburg
30 Aug 2025Augsburg2 - 3Bayern München
04 Apr 2025Augsburg1 - 3Bayern München
22 Nov 2024Bayern München3 - 0Augsburg
27 Jan 2024Augsburg2 - 3Bayern München
27 Aug 2023Bayern München3 - 1Augsburg
11 Mar 2023Bayern München5 - 3Augsburg
17 Sep 2022Augsburg1 - 0Bayern München
09 Apr 2022Bayern München1 - 0Augsburg
19 Nov 2021Augsburg2 - 1Bayern München
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.1487.7%10 Oct 14:30
Bet3651X2draw9.5010.5%10 Oct 14:30
Bet3651X2home13.007.7%10 Oct 14:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.1487.7%10 Oct 14:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under5.5018.2%10 Oct 14:30
SportyBet1X2away1.1984.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw9.7810.2%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home13.357.5%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.1487.7%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under6.0016.7%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:08 UTC