OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-11-10
🎾 ATP Challenger Matsuyama, Japan Men Singles · Tuesday 10 November 2026, 01:00 UTC · finished
Naoya Honda 1.80 2 - 0 0.60 Chun Hsin Tseng
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 79.4%81%-1.9%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov30.5%69.5%
poisson37.0%35.2%
xgboost14.1%85.9%
logistic34.1%65.9%
Inputs the models saw
Naoya HondaChun Hsin Tseng
Elo (pre-match)14711610
Surface Elo14711610
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.800.60
Form trend0.600.60
Season points per game1.500.00
Season goals for / game1.330.00
Season goals against / game1.332.00
Rest days115
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Naoya Honda: last 5
29 OctHLiam Broady1 - 2L
27 OctHFilip Peliwo2 - 1W
26 OctADinko Dinev1 - 2L
26 OctAFilip Peliwo2 - 1W
25 OctARyuki Matsuda2 - 0W
Chun Hsin Tseng: last 5
04 NovACarl Emil Overbeck0 - 2L
02 NovACarl Emil Overbeck0 - 2L
07 SepHLuca Castelnuovo1 - 2L
31 AugHKasidit Samrej0 - 2L
31 AugHFajing Sun2 - 0W
Head to head
No previous meetings in our data.
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.2381.3%09 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.9525.3%09 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:54 UTC