| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.2% | 47% | +7.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.4% | 52.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 65.1% | 34.8% |
| logistic | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Dalibor Svrcina | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1724 | 1753 |
| Surface Elo | 1724 | 1753 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Cameron Norrie | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Rohan Murali | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Yoshihito Nishioka | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Billy Harris | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Dalibor Svrcina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Dalibor Svrcina | 2 - 1 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry |
| 20 Sep 2023 | Dalibor Svrcina | 0 - 2 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.74 | 57.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |