OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-23
🎾 ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men Singles · Friday 23 October 2026, 08:00 UTC · finished
Stefanos Tsitsipas 1.80 2 - 0 1.20 James Duckworth
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 68.0%81%-12.9%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov60.9%39.1%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost80.6%19.4%
logistic70.8%29.2%
Inputs the models saw
Stefanos TsitsipasJames Duckworth
Elo (pre-match)19651761
Surface Elo19651761
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.20
Form trend-0.30-0.90
Season points per game2.571.50
Season goals for / game1.711.00
Season goals against / game0.711.00
Rest days12
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Stefanos Tsitsipas: last 5
23 OctAJames Duckworth2 - 0W
21 OctHMikhail Kukushkin2 - 0W
21 OctAMikhail Kukushkin2 - 0W
20 OctHAleksandar Kovacevic2 - 1W
20 OctAAleksandar Kovacevic2 - 1W
James Duckworth: last 5
23 OctHStefanos Tsitsipas0 - 2L
21 OctHLuciano Darderi2 - 0W
21 OctHLuciano Darderi2 - 0W
19 OctAMiomir Kecmanovic2 - 0W
19 OctHMiomir Kecmanovic2 - 0W
Head to head
23 Oct 2026James Duckworth0 - 2Stefanos Tsitsipas
30 Jul 2018James Duckworth0 - 2Stefanos Tsitsipas
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.4022.7%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.2381.3%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:04 UTC