| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.9% | 65% | -6.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| logistic | 53.7% | 46.3% |
| Lukas Pokorny | Pietro Fellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1539 | 1504 |
| Surface Elo | 1539 | 1504 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Arvid Nordquist | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Chayka, Aleksander | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Alex Kobelt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Radu David Turcanu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Valentin Vanta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Stefan Seifert | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | GUNDACKER, Jonas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Tanguy Genier | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Poritskyy, Andriy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Paul Jubb | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 18 Oct 06:15 |