| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 42.3% | 56% | -13.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.8% | 80% | -6.5% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 56.6% | 73% | -16.6% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 64% | -8.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 27.9% | 26.6% | 45.5% |
| xgboost | 31.7% | 26.6% | 41.8% |
| logistic | 36.5% | 29.7% | 33.8% |
| Hornchurch | Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1432 | 1477 |
| Surface Elo | 1432 | 1477 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | West Ham | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Fylde | 1 - 3 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Fylde | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Yeovil | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Yeovil | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Sheffield Weds | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | A | Sheffield Weds | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | Aston Villa | 3 - 2 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Mansfield | 1 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Mansfield | 1 - 4 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.10 | 24.4% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.56 | 64.1% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |