| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.9% | 36% | +8.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.8% | 76% | -0.5% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 57.2% | 50% | +6.8% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% | 58% | -0.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.8% | 26.3% | 41.9% |
| xgboost | 34.0% | 24.3% | 41.7% |
| logistic | 32.4% | 27.6% | 39.9% |
| Pisa | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1465 | 1634 |
| Surface Elo | 1465 | 1634 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.25 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Verona | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Verona | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Cremonese | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Cremonese | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Ascoli | 4 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Carrarese | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Carrarese | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Salernitana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Mantova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Mantova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Jan 2025 | Palermo | 1 - 2 | Pisa |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Pisa | 2 - 0 | Palermo |
| 01 Apr 2024 | Pisa | 4 - 3 | Palermo |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Palermo | 3 - 2 | Pisa |
| 04 Mar 2023 | Pisa | 1 - 1 | Palermo |
| 15 Oct 2022 | Palermo | 3 - 3 | Pisa |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |