| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 79.4% | 92% | -12.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 16.0% | 84.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 13.5% | 86.5% |
| logistic | 17.1% | 82.9% |
| Donna Vekic | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1574 | 1968 |
| Surface Elo | 1574 | 1968 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | H | Lin Zhu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Iga Swiatek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Lin Zhu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Xinyu Wang | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Xinyu Wang | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Xinyu Gao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Elise Mertens | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Iva Jovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Donna Vekic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Xinyu Gao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Donna Vekic | 1 - 2 | Iga Swiatek |
| 08 May 2023 | Donna Vekic | 0 - 2 | Iga Swiatek |
| 10 Oct 2022 | Donna Vekic | 1 - 2 | Iga Swiatek |
| 20 Jan 2020 | Donna Vekic | 0 - 2 | Iga Swiatek |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.09 | 91.7% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 8.25 | 12.1% | 04 Oct 06:15 |