| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.7% | 29% | +17.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.7% | 78% | -1.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 58.5% | 40% | +18.8% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.3% | 59% | +12.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.0% | 23.2% | 26.9% |
| xgboost | 33.6% | 24.7% | 41.7% |
| logistic | 38.7% | 27.8% | 33.5% |
| Sociedad | Almeria | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1631 | 1592 |
| Surface Elo | 1631 | 1592 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 17 Oct | A | CD Aurrera de Vitoria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Union Gilloise | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | RC Deportivo de A Coruna | 3 - 2 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | La Coruna | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Celta B | 1 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Leganes | 3 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Leganes | 3 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Atletico Malagueno | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Burgos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Burgos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Apr 2024 | Sociedad | 2 - 2 | Almeria |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Almeria | 1 - 3 | Sociedad |
| 23 May 2023 | Sociedad | 1 - 0 | Almeria |
| 08 Jan 2023 | Almeria | 0 - 2 | Sociedad |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |