| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.8% | 57% | -6.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.3% | 52.6% |
| logistic | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| Sho Shimabukuro | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1647 | 1681 |
| Surface Elo | 1647 | 1681 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Jan Kumstat | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Roman Safiullin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Roman Safiullin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | August Holmgren | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Ognjen Milic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | James Mccabe | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |