OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-15
🎾 ATP Challenger Szczecin, Poland Men Singles · Tuesday 15 September 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished
Marvin Moeller 1.80 2 - 0 1.20 Daniel Michalski
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 59.4%57%+2.2%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost59.8%40.2%
logistic58.5%41.5%
Inputs the models saw
Marvin MoellerDaniel Michalski
Elo (pre-match)16341552
Surface Elo16341552
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.20
Form trend0.600.00
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days836
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Marvin Moeller: last 5
14 SepAMarco Cecchinato1 - 2L
14 SepADaniel Michalski2 - 0W
07 SepHMatias Soto1 - 2L
07 SepHMaxim Mrva1 - 0W
24 AugACezar Cretu0 - 2L
Daniel Michalski: last 5
14 SepHMarvin Moeller0 - 2L
10 AugHLukas Neumayer1 - 2L
10 AugHLorenzo Carboni2 - 0W
06 JulHKimmer Coppejans0 - 2L
06 JulHPedro Boscardin Dias2 - 0W
Head to head
14 Sep 2026Daniel Michalski0 - 2Marvin Moeller
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.0050.0%15 Sep 09:05
SportyBet1X2home1.7557.1%15 Sep 09:05
Generated 2026-10-30 22:47 UTC