| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.1% | 54% | -4.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 78.0% | 83% | -5.0% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.1% | 71% | -9.0% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.3% | 69% | +8.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 71.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.5% | 24.5% | 28.9% |
| xgboost | 32.5% | 23.4% | 44.2% |
| logistic | 23.2% | 20.2% | 56.6% |
| Dover Athletic | Dorking | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1201 | 1354 |
| Surface Elo | 1201 | 1354 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 1608 | 903 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Hanwell Town FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | AFC Totton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 May | H | Weymouth | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 May | A | Bromley | 2 - 2 | D |
| 02 May | A | Notts County | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Chatham Town | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Braintree Town | 4 - 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Southall FC | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Apr | H | Hartlepool | 3 - 4 | L |
| 13 Apr | A | Rochdale | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.84 | 54.4% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.45 | 69.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |