| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.7% | 69% | -3.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.2% | 39.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| logistic | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| Maria Sakkari | Talia Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1672 | 1596 |
| Surface Elo | 1672 | 1596 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | H | Nao Hibino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Linda Fruhvirtova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Talia Gibson | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Nao Hibino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Linda Fruhvirtova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Viktoria Morvayova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Fiona Ferro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Maria Sakkari | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Viktoria Morvayova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Maria Sakkari | 1 - 2 | Talia Gibson |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.44 | 69.4% | 25 Sep 06:15 |