| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 83.8% | 80% | +3.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.4% | 32.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 82.1% | 17.8% |
| logistic | 83.6% | 16.4% |
| Liam Draxl | Duncan Chan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1698 | 1471 |
| Surface Elo | 1698 | 1471 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.91 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.36 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.09 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Dylan Dietrich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Sebastian Dominko | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Benjamin Willwerth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Young, Gavin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Roger Pascual Ferra | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Colton Smith | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.75 | 26.7% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.25 | 80.0% | 09 Nov 06:15 |