| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.3% | 52% | +2.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 80.0% | 77% | +2.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 72.2% | 69% | +3.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.5% | 60% | +3.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 56.5% | 24.0% | 19.5% |
| xgboost | 57.1% | 22.2% | 20.7% |
| logistic | 51.6% | 25.7% | 22.7% |
| Lille | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1778 | 1613 |
| Surface Elo | 1778 | 1613 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 2 W · 5 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Arsenal | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Le Havre | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Le Havre | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Nice | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Troyes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Angers | 5 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Angers | 5 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Auxerre | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Paris Saint Germain | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Le Havre | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Lille | 1 - 1 | Brest |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Brest | 3 - 3 | Lille |
| 10 May 2025 | Brest | 2 - 0 | Lille |
| 06 Dec 2024 | Lille | 3 - 1 | Brest |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Brest | 1 - 1 | Lille |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Lille | 1 - 0 | Brest |
| 24 Feb 2023 | Lille | 2 - 1 | Brest |
| 11 Jan 2023 | Brest | 0 - 0 | Lille |
| 22 Jan 2022 | Brest | 2 - 0 | Lille |
| 23 Oct 2021 | Lille | 1 - 1 | Brest |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.06 | 24.6% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.94 | 25.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.93 | 51.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |