OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-31
⚽ Scotland Premiership · Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC · scheduled
Motherwell 0.20 15:00 0.80 St Mirren
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 53.0%55%-1.7%
DCHome or draw 80.0%79%+0.7%
DNBHome (DNB) 71.3%72%-0.4%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.8%63%-4.9%
BTTSBTTS yes 57.7%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson54.1%25.7%20.2%
xgboost48.9%27.0%24.2%
logistic54.2%26.7%19.1%
Inputs the models saw
MotherwellSt Mirren
Elo (pre-match)16451577
Surface Elo16451577
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.200.80
Form trend-0.20-0.50
Season points per game0.200.80
Season goals for / game1.000.80
Season goals against / game2.202.60
Rest days22
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W1 W · 5 D
Motherwell: last 5
28 OctASt Johnstone2 - 2D
28 OctASt Johnstone2 - 2D
25 OctHHeart of Midlothian FC0 - 2L
25 OctHHearts0 - 2L
17 OctAKilmarnock2 - 3L
St Mirren: last 5
28 OctHHibernian1 - 1D
28 OctHHibernian1 - 1D
24 OctHDundee2 - 1W
24 OctHDundee2 - 1W
17 OctAAberdeen1 - 3L
Head to head
30 Aug 2026St Mirren3 - 3Motherwell
21 Feb 2026St Mirren0 - 5Motherwell
03 Jan 2026Motherwell2 - 0St Mirren
09 Aug 2025St Mirren0 - 0Motherwell
15 Mar 2025Motherwell2 - 2St Mirren
07 Dec 2024St Mirren0 - 1Motherwell
28 Sep 2024Motherwell2 - 1St Mirren
30 Mar 2024Motherwell1 - 1St Mirren
16 Dec 2023St Mirren0 - 0Motherwell
16 Sep 2023Motherwell0 - 1St Mirren
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.0524.7%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0524.7%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8354.6%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6062.5%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3542.5%30 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 13:58 UTC