| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.2% | 65% | -7.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.7% | 57.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.9% | 59.0% |
| logistic | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Carlos Taberner | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1647 | 1718 |
| Surface Elo | 1647 | 1718 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.91 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.45 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Oleksii Krutykh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Goncalo Marques | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Benjamin Hassan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Samuele Pieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Andrej Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Marco Trungelliti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sumit Nagal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Raul Brancaccio | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Alexander Ritschard | 2 - 0 | Carlos Taberner |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.55 | 64.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |