| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.6% | 48% | +3.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 75.9% | 78% | -2.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 66.5% | 67% | -0.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.5% | 50% | +6.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.7% | 30.3% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 22.4% | 23.1% | 54.5% |
| logistic | 21.0% | 28.2% | 50.8% |
| Clermont | Red Star | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1389 | 1525 |
| Surface Elo | 1389 | 1525 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 4 D |
| 18 Sep | A | Grenoble | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Sep | H | Boulogne | 0 - 0 | D |
| 04 Sep | A | Dunkerque | 1 - 1 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | Sochaux | 0 - 0 | D |
| 21 Aug | H | Dijon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Guingamp | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Guingamp | 3 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Metz | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Sep | A | Laval | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Reims | 1 - 4 | L |
| 20 Mar 2026 | Clermont | 0 - 1 | Red Star |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Red Star | 2 - 2 | Clermont |
| 25 Apr 2025 | Red Star | 1 - 1 | Clermont |
| 24 Sep 2024 | Clermont | 1 - 1 | Red Star |
| 15 Mar 2019 | Red Star | 0 - 4 | Clermont |
| 19 Oct 2018 | Clermont | 0 - 0 | Red Star |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.60 | 27.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.97 | 50.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.78 | 56.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |