| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 82.0% | 96% | -14.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 75.5% | 24.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 81.7% | 18.3% |
| logistic | 72.5% | 27.5% |
| Dino Prizmic | David Jorda Sanchis | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1829 | 1563 |
| Surface Elo | 1829 | 1563 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | David Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Harry Wendelken | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Dino Prizmic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Harry Wendelken | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Lucas Poullain | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Luca Potenza | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | David Jorda Sanchis | 0 - 2 | Dino Prizmic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 9.20 | 10.9% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.04 | 96.2% | 23 Sep 06:15 |