| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.0% | 69% | -7.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 30.4% | 69.6% |
| logistic | 36.4% | 63.6% |
| Stefan Kozlov | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1466 | 1618 |
| Surface Elo | 1466 | 1618 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.86 |
| Rest days | 25 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | H | Mitchell Krueger | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Mitchell Krueger | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | James Trotter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Colton Smith | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Colton Smith | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Kenta Miyoshi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Kenta Miyoshi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Daniel Masur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Billy Harris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Murphy Cassone | 0 - 2 | Stefan Kozlov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.43 | 69.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 27 Oct 06:15 |