| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.1% | 41% | +4.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.9% | 79% | -3.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 57.8% | 56% | +2.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 62% | -5.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 49.9% | 23.8% | 26.2% |
| xgboost | 31.6% | 26.6% | 41.8% |
| logistic | 37.1% | 28.3% | 34.5% |
| Barnsley | Cambridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1443 | 1561 |
| Surface Elo | 1443 | 1561 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.78 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.88 | 1.22 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Stockport | 1 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Stockport | 1 - 3 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 4 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Leeds | 3 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Leicester | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Blackpool | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Blackpool | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Northampton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | AFC Wimbledon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | AFC Wimbledon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Barnsley | 1 - 1 | Cambridge |
| 16 Nov 2024 | Cambridge | 1 - 1 | Barnsley |
| 29 Mar 2024 | Barnsley | 0 - 2 | Cambridge |
| 03 Oct 2023 | Cambridge | 0 - 4 | Barnsley |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Barnsley | 2 - 0 | Cambridge |
| 17 Sep 2022 | Cambridge | 0 - 3 | Barnsley |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 17 Oct 06:15 |