| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.7% | 68% | -15.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| logistic | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Sebastian Dominko | Benjamin Willwerth | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1480 | 1438 |
| Surface Elo | 1480 | 1438 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 15 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Justin Boulais | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Daniel Masur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Sebastian Gima | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Stepan Baum | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Rudolf Molleker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Duncan Chan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Jack Secord | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Zamora, N | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Car, Hugo | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.48 | 67.6% | 26 Oct 06:15 |