OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 UTC · finished
Augsburg 1.00 1 - 1 0.80 Union Berlin
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 51.1%54%-3.0%✗ miss
DCHome or away 77.4%79%-1.2%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 66.5%71%-4.6%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 70.0%67%+2.9%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 60.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson49.5%26.0%24.4%
xgboost54.0%20.5%25.5%
logistic46.6%27.0%26.3%
Inputs the models saw
AugsburgUnion Berlin
Elo (pre-match)16161555
Surface Elo16161555
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.000.80
Form trend0.60-0.50
Season points per game1.330.83
Season goals for / game2.670.83
Season goals against / game2.002.83
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W2 W · 4 D
Augsburg: last 5
17 OctAElversberg3 - 4L
17 OctAElversberg3 - 4L
10 OctHBayern München2 - 2D
10 OctHBayern München2 - 2D
02 OctHHertha Berlin2 - 2D
Union Berlin: last 5
17 OctHBorussia Dortmund0 - 0D
17 OctHBorussia Dortmund0 - 0D
10 OctHElversberg1 - 0W
10 OctHElversberg1 - 0W
18 SepABayern München0 - 7L
Head to head
16 May 2026Union Berlin4 - 0Augsburg
15 Jan 2026Augsburg1 - 1Union Berlin
17 May 2025Augsburg1 - 2Union Berlin
15 Jan 2025Union Berlin0 - 2Augsburg
12 Apr 2024Augsburg2 - 0Union Berlin
25 Nov 2023Union Berlin1 - 1Augsburg
06 May 2023Augsburg1 - 0Union Berlin
09 Nov 2022Union Berlin2 - 2Augsburg
05 Feb 2022Augsburg2 - 0Union Berlin
11 Sep 2021Union Berlin0 - 0Augsburg
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.5022.2%24 Oct 14:30
Bet3651X2draw4.1024.4%24 Oct 14:30
Bet3651X2home1.7058.8%24 Oct 14:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4469.4%24 Oct 14:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.7536.4%24 Oct 14:30
SportyBet1X2away4.0624.6%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.2023.8%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8753.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4867.6%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.7536.4%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:19 UTC