| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.6% | 59% | +0.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.3% | 39.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 58.6% | 41.4% |
| logistic | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Liudmila Samsonova | Peyton Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1641 | 1576 |
| Surface Elo | 1641 | 1576 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 19 | 19 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Sep | A | Marta Kostyuk | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Kayla Day | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Peyton Stearns | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Marta Kostyuk | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Kayla Day | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Sloane Stephens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Diane Parry | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Iva Jovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Liudmila Samsonova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Sloane Stephens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Liudmila Samsonova | 0 - 2 | Peyton Stearns |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 18 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.69 | 59.2% | 18 Sep 06:15 |