| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.6% | 66% | -1.6% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| logistic | 70.7% | 29.3% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Novak Djokovic | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2143 | 1977 |
| Surface Elo | 2143 | 1977 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 8 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Hubert Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Alex De Minaur | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Alex De Minaur | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Novak Djokovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | James Duckworth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | James Duckworth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 1 | L |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | 2 - 0 | Novak Djokovic |
| 19 May 2025 | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | Novak Djokovic |
| 13 Nov 2023 | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | Novak Djokovic |
| 03 Jul 2023 | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 3 | Novak Djokovic |
| 27 Feb 2023 | Hubert Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | Novak Djokovic |
| 02 May 2022 | Hubert Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | Novak Djokovic |
| 01 Nov 2021 | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | Novak Djokovic |
| 01 Jul 2019 | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 3 | Novak Djokovic |
| 27 May 2019 | Hubert Hurkacz | 0 - 3 | Novak Djokovic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.60 | 38.5% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.52 | 65.8% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.50 | 40.0% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.53 | 65.4% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.70 | 37.0% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.50 | 66.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.84 | 35.2% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.53 | 65.4% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.88 | 34.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Novak Djokovic | 1.54 | 64.9% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.70 | 37.0% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.51 | 66.2% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.60 | 38.5% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.50 | 66.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.60 | 38.5% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.50 | 66.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.66 | 37.6% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.56 | 64.1% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.65 | 37.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.48 | 67.6% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.84 | 35.2% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.53 | 65.4% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.88 | 34.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Novak Djokovic | 1.54 | 64.9% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.60 | 38.5% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.50 | 66.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.64 | 37.9% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.54 | 64.9% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.55 | 39.2% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.43 | 69.9% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.55 | 39.2% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.45 | 69.0% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.55 | 39.2% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.48 | 67.6% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.65 | 37.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.48 | 67.6% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.65 | 37.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.48 | 67.6% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.50 | 40.0% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.53 | 65.4% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.60 | 38.5% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.50 | 66.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.40 | 41.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 1.44 | 69.4% | 09 Oct 06:01 |