| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.7% | 93% | -20.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 83.9% | 16.0% |
| logistic | 56.8% | 43.2% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Pedro Sakamoto | Nicolas Bruna | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1470 | 1398 |
| Surface Elo | 1470 | 1398 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Guido Ivan Justo | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Santiago De La Fuente | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Gabriel Schenekenberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Alan Magadan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Mar | A | Guido Ivan Justo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Tomas Farjat | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Mar | A | Arklon Huertas Del Pino | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.00 | 14.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.07 | 93.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |