OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Scottish League One · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Alloa 0.40 0 - 3 2.60 Hamilton
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 50.5%56%-5.3%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.3%82%-6.5%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 64.6%75%-10.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.3%51%+2.8%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 54.4%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson29.2%30.0%40.8%
xgboost28.5%25.3%46.2%
logistic28.3%26.2%45.5%
Inputs the models saw
AlloaHamilton
Elo (pre-match)14391572
Surface Elo14391572
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.402.60
Form trend0.30-0.40
Season points per game1.002.75
Season goals for / game1.002.25
Season goals against / game1.110.25
Rest days76
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W5 W · 1 D
Alloa: last 5
03 OctARoss County1 - 4L
03 OctARoss County1 - 4L
26 SepHGala Fairydean Rovers2 - 2D
22 SepHHibernian4 - 1W
19 SepHEast Kilbride1 - 2L
Hamilton: last 5
03 OctHPeterhead2 - 1W
03 OctHPeterhead2 - 1W
26 SepHKilmarnock3 - 0W
23 SepHCowdenbeath1 - 0W
19 SepHQueen of Sth4 - 1W
Head to head
08 Aug 2026Hamilton1 - 0Alloa
11 Apr 2026Hamilton1 - 0Alloa
21 Feb 2026Alloa3 - 0Hamilton
20 Dec 2025Hamilton1 - 0Alloa
23 Aug 2025Alloa1 - 0Hamilton
27 Apr 2024Alloa0 - 1Hamilton
24 Feb 2024Hamilton1 - 2Alloa
09 Dec 2023Alloa0 - 0Hamilton
16 Sep 2023Hamilton2 - 1Alloa
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.6062.5%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.8026.3%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home4.3323.1%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7357.8%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0848.1%10 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away1.8653.8%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.9025.6%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8254.9%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9651.0%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:20 UTC