| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 75.9% | 85% | -9.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 96.4% | 99% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 96.4% | 98% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 39.4% | 36% | +3.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 45.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 73.8% | 17.1% | 9.1% |
| xgboost | 78.1% | 15.0% | 6.9% |
| logistic | 76.9% | 16.8% | 6.3% |
| Fenerbahce | Eyupspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1766 | 1470 |
| Surface Elo | 1766 | 1470 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 5 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 2 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Gaziantep | 0 - 0 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Besiktas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Samsunspor | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Konyaspor | 4 - 2 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Genclerbirligi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Rizespor | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | Corum | 0 - 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Alanyaspor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Gaziantep | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Besiktas | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 May 2026 | Fenerbahce | 3 - 3 | Eyupspor |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Eyupspor | 0 - 3 | Fenerbahce |
| 18 May 2025 | Fenerbahce | 2 - 1 | Eyupspor |
| 20 Dec 2024 | Eyupspor | 1 - 1 | Fenerbahce |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 15.00 | 6.7% | 20 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 7.00 | 14.3% | 20 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.11 | 90.1% | 20 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.44 | 69.4% | 20 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.70 | 37.0% | 20 Sep 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 15.68 | 6.4% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 8.20 | 12.2% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.18 | 84.8% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.44 | 69.4% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.90 | 34.5% | 20 Sep 06:15 |