| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.5% | 91% | -27.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 82.1% | 17.8% |
| logistic | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Alice Tubello | Cinalli, Luna Maria | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1536 | 1554 |
| Surface Elo | 1536 | 1554 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | A | Laura Samson | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Alisa Oktiabreva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ipek Oz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Martha Matoula | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Vittoria Paganetti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Ana Candiotto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Dourado, Jennifer Rosa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Ana Sofia Sanchez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Dourado, Jennifer Rosa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Liv Zingg | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.25 | 16.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.10 | 90.9% | 28 Oct 06:15 |