| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.5% | 53% | +1.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.7% | 59.3% |
| logistic | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Oleksii Krutykh | Filip Pieczonka | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1448 | 1452 |
| Surface Elo | 1448 | 1452 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | A | Luka Mikrut | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Javier Barranco Cosano | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Francisco Rocha | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Matias Soto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Chun Hsin Tseng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Adrian Oetzbach | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Marco Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Marco Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Tiago Pereira | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Aug | H | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.87 | 53.5% | 05 Oct 06:15 |