| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.4% | 54% | +0.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 53.2% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 36.5% | 62.7% |
| logistic | 62.1% | 37.9% |
| Dallas Stars | New Jersey Devils | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1581 | 1530 |
| Surface Elo | 1581 | 1530 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.91 | 3.27 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.82 | 2.91 |
| Rest days | 2 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | New York Islanders | 6 - 3 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Winnipeg Jets | 3 - 2 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Boston Bruins | 3 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Colorado Avalanche | 3 - 2 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Los Angeles Kings | 3 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Anaheim Ducks | 4 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Colorado Avalanche | 4 - 3 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Washington Capitals | 2 - 4 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | New York Rangers | 7 - 1 | W |
| 25 Mar 2026 | Dallas Stars | 4 - 6 | New Jersey Devils |
| 04 Dec 2025 | New Jersey Devils | 0 - 3 | Dallas Stars |
| 05 Mar 2025 | Dallas Stars | 4 - 3 | New Jersey Devils |
| 22 Feb 2025 | New Jersey Devils | 2 - 4 | Dallas Stars |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 27 Oct 23:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 27 Oct 23:20 |