OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-31
⚽ Italy Serie A · Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · scheduled
Udinese 0.20 17:00 1.80 Roma
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 59.2%64%-4.5%
DCDraw or away 83.5%86%-2.0%
DNBAway (DNB) 77.7%81%-3.3%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.5%62%-3.5%
BTTSBTTS yes 58.8%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson20.7%25.3%54.0%
xgboost17.0%17.9%65.1%
logistic13.3%22.7%64.1%
Inputs the models saw
UdineseRoma
Elo (pre-match)15731848
Surface Elo15731848
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.201.80
Form trend-0.20-0.40
Season points per game0.332.00
Season goals for / game0.002.25
Season goals against / game1.671.25
Rest days23
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W7 W · 1 D
Udinese: last 5
28 OctAParma0 - 0D
28 OctAParma0 - 0D
25 OctHAc Milan0 - 2L
25 OctHAc Milan0 - 2L
18 OctHLecce0 - 3L
Roma: last 5
27 OctHCagliari4 - 2W
27 OctHCagliari4 - 2W
24 OctANapoli3 - 3D
24 OctANapoli3 - 3D
20 OctHSlovan Bratislava4 - 0W
Head to head
02 Feb 2026Udinese1 - 0Roma
09 Nov 2025Roma2 - 0Udinese
26 Jan 2025Udinese1 - 2Roma
22 Sep 2024Roma3 - 0Udinese
25 Apr 2024Udinese1 - 2Roma
26 Nov 2023Roma3 - 1Udinese
16 Apr 2023Roma3 - 0Udinese
04 Sep 2022Udinese4 - 0Roma
13 Mar 2022Udinese1 - 1Roma
23 Sep 2021Roma1 - 0Udinese
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.5763.7%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.6521.5%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home5.9316.9%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6062.5%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4041.7%30 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 13:57 UTC