| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.8% | 49% | +3.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.9% | 46.1% |
| xgboost | 36.7% | 61.6% |
| logistic | 46.9% | 53.1% |
| Dallas Stars | Colorado Avalanche | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1531 | 1573 |
| Surface Elo | 1531 | 1573 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.20 | 5.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Pittsburgh Penguins | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | San Jose Sharks | 5 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 0 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 6 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Calgary Flames | 7 - 3 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Winnipeg Jets | 2 - 3 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 6 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Los Angeles Kings | 8 - 4 | W |
| 04 Apr 2026 | Dallas Stars | 0 - 2 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 19 Mar 2026 | Colorado Avalanche | 1 - 2 | Dallas Stars |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Dallas Stars | 4 - 5 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Colorado Avalanche | 4 - 5 | Dallas Stars |
| 04 May 2025 | Dallas Stars | 4 - 2 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 02 May 2025 | Colorado Avalanche | 7 - 4 | Dallas Stars |
| 29 Apr 2025 | Dallas Stars | 6 - 2 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Colorado Avalanche | 4 - 0 | Dallas Stars |
| 24 Apr 2025 | Colorado Avalanche | 1 - 2 | Dallas Stars |
| 22 Apr 2025 | Dallas Stars | 4 - 3 | Colorado Avalanche |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.87 | 53.5% | 13 Oct 20:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 13 Oct 20:20 |