| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.8% | 61% | -2.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.4% | 57.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.4% | 64.5% |
| logistic | 44.7% | 55.3% |
| Keisuke Saitoh | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1438 | 1508 |
| Surface Elo | 1438 | 1508 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 10 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Koki Matsuda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Feb | A | Andre Ilagan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Dec | H | Shintaro Mochizuki | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Nov | A | Jakub Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Nov | A | Ji Sung Nam | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Yaroslav Demin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Luca Castelnuovo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Luka Pavlovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Luka Pavlovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.63 | 61.4% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 08 Oct 06:15 |