| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.3% | 56% | -4.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| logistic | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Mariam Bolkvadze | Jorge, Francisca | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1518 | 1530 |
| Surface Elo | 1518 | 1530 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | A | Berfu Cengiz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Berecoechea, N | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Bianca Andreescu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Leolia Jeanjean | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Mariia Tkacheva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Nastasja Schunk | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Amandine Hesse | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Francesca Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Zhibek Kulambayeva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Eva Vedder | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.94 | 51.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.77 | 56.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |