| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.0% | 51% | -0.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.8% | 77% | +0.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 68.8% | 68% | +0.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 60% | -8.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.9% | 27.6% | 25.5% |
| xgboost | 47.7% | 28.1% | 24.2% |
| logistic | 56.2% | 25.2% | 18.6% |
| Standard | Waasland-Beveren | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1538 | 1419 |
| Surface Elo | 1538 | 1419 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 2.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 55 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 31 Oct | H | Kortrijk | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Kortrijk | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Genk | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Genk | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | FCV Dender EH | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Union Gilloise | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Westerlo | 4 - 4 | D |
| 16 Oct | H | RSC Habay | 3 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Lommel SK | 1 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Kortrijk | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 Jan 2021 | Standard | 3 - 1 | Waasland-Beveren |
| 17 Aug 2020 | Waasland-Beveren | 1 - 2 | Standard |
| 21 Dec 2019 | Waasland-Beveren | 2 - 1 | Standard |
| 30 Oct 2019 | Standard | 2 - 0 | Waasland-Beveren |
| 17 Mar 2019 | Standard | 4 - 3 | Waasland-Beveren |
| 03 Aug 2018 | Waasland-Beveren | 0 - 0 | Standard |
| 08 Dec 2017 | Waasland-Beveren | 3 - 1 | Standard |
| 29 Oct 2017 | Standard | 3 - 1 | Waasland-Beveren |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.71 | 27.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.06 | 48.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |