| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.3% | 45% | +6.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| logistic | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Giorgio Tabacco | Branko Djuric | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1453 | 1512 |
| Surface Elo | 1453 | 1512 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Fausto Tabacco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Sciahbasi, Matteo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Andrey Chepelev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Alvarez Valdes, Luis Carlos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Murgett, F | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Tommaso Compagnucci | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Linus Lagerbohm | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Robert Strombachs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Chirag Duhan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Aristarkh Safonov | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.60 | 62.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |