| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.0% | 65% | -8.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.1% | 86% | -6.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 71.6% | 82% | -10.0% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% | 64% | -1.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 61.6% | 21.0% | 17.4% |
| xgboost | 56.6% | 18.9% | 24.6% |
| logistic | 54.4% | 25.3% | 20.3% |
| West Ham | QPR | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1675 | 1516 |
| Surface Elo | 1675 | 1516 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 20 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Millwall | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Millwall | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Millwall | 2 - 2 | D |
| 11 Sep | H | Wrexham | 6 - 0 | W |
| 08 Sep | A | Bolton | 3 - 2 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Southampton | 1 - 5 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Preston North End | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Preston | 2 - 2 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | West Brom | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Sep | A | Charlton | 0 - 0 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.14 | 16.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.83 | 20.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.52 | 65.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.56 | 64.1% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |