| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.7% | 60% | +0.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 66.4% | 33.5% |
| logistic | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| Talia Gibson | Sinja Kraus | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1610 | 1553 |
| Surface Elo | 1610 | 1553 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 21 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Ashlyn Krueger | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Sinja Kraus | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Harriet Dart | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Talia Gibson | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Caty McNally | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Magda Linette | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Nikola Bartunkova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Dayana Yastremska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Sinja Kraus | 0 - 2 | Talia Gibson |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.68 | 59.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |