| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.1% | 69% | -12.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 58.1% | 41.8% |
| logistic | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| Darwin Blanch | Stefan Kozlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1577 | 1526 |
| Surface Elo | 1577 | 1526 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 22 | 36 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | H | Michael Mmoh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Bryce Nakashima Nakashima | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Federico Agustin Gomez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Stefan Kozlov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Harry Wendelken | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Jul | A | Alan Magadan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | H | Yi Zhou | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 1 | Stefan Kozlov |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Darwin Blanch | 1 - 2 | Stefan Kozlov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 15 Sep 09:05 |