| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 76.5% | 75% | +1.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 74.2% | 25.7% |
| logistic | 79.2% | 20.8% |
| Jay Clarke | Maxime Janvier | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1535 | 1392 |
| Surface Elo | 1535 | 1392 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.62 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.23 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.85 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | A | Felix Gill | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Gianluca Cadenasso | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Federico Bondioli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Nov | A | Semen Pankin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Noah Karma | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Daniel De Jonge | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Manas Dhamne | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Daniel Masur | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 10 Nov 06:15 |