| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.1% | 65% | -9.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 81.3% | 88% | -6.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 74.2% | 82% | -8.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 65% | -10.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 59.7% | 21.7% | 18.6% |
| xgboost | 53.6% | 23.1% | 23.3% |
| logistic | 60.7% | 22.7% | 16.7% |
| Celtic | Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1913 | 1800 |
| Surface Elo | 1913 | 1800 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.63 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 4 W · 1 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Benfica | 1 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Motherwell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Motherwell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Clachnacuddin FC | 3 - 3 | D |
| 22 Sep | A | East Kilbride | 3 - 3 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | St Mirren | 5 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Kilmarnock | 1 - 1 | D |
| 15 Sep | A | Falkirk | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Dundee | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Sep | A | Hibernian | 3 - 1 | W |
| 16 May 2026 | Celtic | 3 - 1 | Hearts |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Hearts | 2 - 2 | Celtic |
| 07 Dec 2025 | Celtic | 1 - 2 | Hearts |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Hearts | 3 - 1 | Celtic |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Celtic | 3 - 0 | Hearts |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Hearts | 1 - 4 | Celtic |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Celtic | 2 - 0 | Hearts |
| 04 May 2024 | Celtic | 3 - 0 | Hearts |
| 03 Mar 2024 | Hearts | 2 - 0 | Celtic |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Celtic | 0 - 2 | Hearts |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 18 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.33 | 23.1% | 18 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 18 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.44 | 69.4% | 18 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.75 | 36.4% | 18 Oct 15:00 |